Will COVID-19 have an impact on the housing market? Here is what RBC thinks

The housing market in Canada saw a worrisome pullback in 2021 due to the coronavirus pandemic, but will likely rebound in 2021, according to an RBC report. The home resales in 2021 reduced by around 30% to a 20-year low because sales will be limited as a result of physical distancing while the fallout in the economy erodes confidence, thereby leaving speculators staying on the sidelines, according to Robert Hogue, who is a bank analyst.

The housing market of Canada slowed to a crawl in the spring of 2020 due to the fact that Canadians had to follow the social distancing rules to fight the spread of the coronavirus. In the Greater Toronto Area, market activity is now displaying a significant drop-off.

According to a report by Realosophy Reality’s John Pasalis, when thought sales increased by half in the initial two weeks of March compared to March of 2019, the sales of the first week were down by 37% when compared to that of 2019, then new listings were also down by 33%.

According to Pasalis, the average prices still remain up since 2019 but have continued to reduce since 2020. According to Hogue, prices of homes will likely remain stable for now while both new listings and buyers pull have, but the composite benchmark price was expected to reduce by 2.9% in the second half of 2020 compared to 2019.

It will only take months or even weeks for the liquidity of the market and surging unemployment to compel an increasing amount of tight-squeezed sellers for making price concessions. Nevertheless, the trends would likely reverse in 2021 as an immigration bounce-back, a strengthening job market, and low-interest rates assist sales in surging more, over 40% this year, and the dynamics of price also go back to favoring sellers, according to Hogue.

According to the report, Prairie economies relying on oil are going to acutely feel the pullback on housing, with price declines that’ll significantly re-accelerate and chances of prices increasing very soon. The affordability measure of the bank, which is the share of median income required for covering home ownership, was fixed at 50% in the 4th quarter of 2019 in Canada. The highest was Vancouver at 80.4%, 68.2% for Toronto, and 31.6% in Edmonton.

In all, let’s try to stay safe!

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